Adam Kalai Probabilistic and On-line Methods in Machine Learning Degree Type: Ph.D. in Computer Science Advisor(s): Avrim Blum Graduated: May 2001 Abstract: On the surface, the three on-line machine learning problems analyzed in this thesis may seem unrelated. The first is an on-line investment strategy introduced by Tom Cover. We begin with a simple analysis that extends to the case of fixed-percentage transaction costs. We then describe an efficient implementation that runs in time polynomial in the number of stocks. The second problem is k-fold cross validation, a popular technique in machine learning for estimating the error of a learned hypothesis. We show that this is a valid technique by comparing it to the hold-out estimate. Finally, we discuss work towards a dynamically-optimal adaptive binary search tree algorithm. Thesis Committee: Avrim Blum (Chair) Manuel Blum Danny Sleator Santosh Vempala Randy Bryant, Head, Computer Science Department James Morris, Dean, School of Computer Science Keywords: Algorithms, on-line algorithms, machine learning, O.S. CMU-CS-01-132.pdf (577.28 KB) ( 44 pages) Copyright Notice