AI-SDM Seminar - Ann Bostrom
— 1:30pm
Location:
In Person and Virtual - ET
-
Newell-Simon 4305 and Zoom
Speaker:
ANN BOSTROM
,
Weyerhaeuser Endowed Professor in Environmental PolicyUniversity of Washington
https://evans.uw.edu/profile/ann-bostrom/
Despite recent uptake of AI techniques for forecasting some weather phenomena, the lack of trustworthy AI still presents a barrier to the adoption of AI for extreme weather phenomena. To address such complex, societally consequential environmental science problems, the NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES) brings AI researchers, meteorologists, oceanographers, and risk communication researchers together from academia, national labs, government agencies, and the private sector. Drawing from risk communication, judgment and decision making, and mental models research, the AI2ES risk communication team developed and tested a multi-method convergence research approach for the Institute. We applied this to assess with National Weather Service forecasters the trustworthiness of two prototype AI models for severe convective weather prediction. Among our findings are that AI model performance, input variables, and interactivity influenced forecasters’ perceptions of model trustworthiness. They also wanted to know under what conditions the model was likely to fail. Centering forecasters and other expert users in the research process is critical to advancing AI and developing trustworthy AI models. Trust has long been recognized as a linchpin for effective risk communication; treating AI as a form of risk communication can help make AI more effective and ethical.
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Ann Bostrom joined the Evans School faculty in 2007. Her research focuses on risk perception, communication, and management; and environmental policy and decision making under uncertainty. She served on the faculty at the Georgia Institute of Technology (Georgia Tech) from 1992-2007, where she served as Associate Dean for Research at the Ivan Allen College of Liberal Arts and Professor in the School of Public Policy. Bostrom co-directed the Decision Risk and Management Science Program at the National Science Foundation from 1999-2001. While in this position she organized, participated in, and made presentations at national and international meetings on research and science policy, including but not limited to, the Subcommittee on Natural Disaster Reduction and the National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program.
She has authored or contributed to numerous publications, including Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach (Cambridge University Press, 2002), Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support: Strategic Directions (Berlin: Springer, 2008), and National Research Council, Institute of Medicine, U.S. EPA Science Advisory Board, and U.S. EPA Board of Scientific Counselors reports. She also serves on the editorial board for Risk Analysis, as Associate Editor for the journal Journal of Risk Research, and reviews for numerous technical journals. Bostrom has received research funding from the National Science Foundation, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and the National Institutes of Health.
Bostrom is the recipient of several fellowships, including the American Statistical Association/National Science Foundation/Bureau of Labor Statistics Research Associateship (1991-92), Fulbright Graduate Research Fellowship and Lois Roth Endowment Fund grant for studies at the University of Stockholm (1989-90), and Patricia Roberts Harris Fellowship at Carnegie Mellon (1988-89). She is also the recipient of the 2020 Distinguished Educator award from the Society for Risk Analysis, and of the 1997 Chauncey Starr award for a young risk analyst from the Society for Risk Analysis for her work on mental models of hazardous processes. Bostrom is an elected fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the Washington State Academy of Sciences (WSAS), and the Society for Risk Analysis. She is past president of the Society for Risk Analysis, past Chair of the AAAS Section on Social, Economic, and Political Sciences (Section K), and is a member of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management, the Society for Judgment and Decision-Making, and the American Association for Public Opinion Research.
Bostrom is currently serving as an elected member on the Board of Directors for the AAAS and on the Board of Directors for the Washington State Academy of Sciences. She is also serving on the Advisory Committee for Earthquake Hazards Reduction, on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory Decision Science and Analysis Technical Advisory Committee, and on the Advisory Committee for the National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorology Lab.
At the University of Washington, Bostrom serves as co-PI on the Cascadia Coastal Hazards Research Coordination Network (PI David Schmidt), on the steering committee for EarthLab, as Primary Research Area Chair for Environments and Populations in the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, and on the Governing Board of the Program on Climate Change. Bostrom is also a co-PI on the NSF-funded Cascadia Coastlines and Peoples Hazards Research Hub (PI Peter Ruggiero), and co-leads the risk communication research in the NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES).
Bostrom holds a Ph.D. in Public Policy Analysis from Carnegie Mellon University, an M.B.A. from Western Washington University, a B.A. in English from the University of Washington, and completed postdoctoral studies in Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University and in cognitive aspects of survey methodology at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. She has also been a visiting professor at the University of Bergen DICE Lab, and is affiliated with the Center for Climate and Energy Decision Making at Carnegie Mellon University.
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For More Information:
pwerns@andrew.cmu.edu